What Happens When You Track Casual Football Like the Premier League
718 matches. 4,959 goals. Fifteen years of data from one of the most obsessively tracked kickabouts in the country.
In 718 matches of amateur football played under floodlights in Berkhamsted, there have been just three goalless draws.
The last was in February 2020. Since then: 266 consecutive matches with at least one goal. Over six years and counting.
4,959 goals. 83 players. Every Thursday night for fifteen years.
One player has appeared in 628 of those matches — almost every Thursday since 2011. This is what happens when a group of school dads start tracking their weekly kickabout like the Premier League — and don't stop.
How it started
Chris Smith and Stefano P set it up as a Victoria Infants School dads' group around 2008. They played at the local leisure centre for three years before moving to Ashlyns School, where the game has been every Thursday since.
For at least the first year, nobody even bothered counting who was winning. No score, no winners, no losers — just an hour of football for blokes in their thirties who missed the game. Those first three years weren't recorded. Nobody knows who scored the most. Nobody knows who won more. That era exists only in memory.
It was Grinners — now 60, still playing, 501 games deep — who suggested they actually keep track during matches. “Habit,” he says, when asked why he still turns up. “I've been doing it now for 18 years and it's a permanent fixture in my weekly diary. I kept setting targets — play until 50, play until 60 — and at this rate I'll be playing until 70.”
Shortly after the move to Ashlyns, Paul Wright — an accountant — started recording who scored. Barrie Miles was enthusiastic about this development. He wanted to know exactly how many goals he'd scored. Everyone else wanted stats that weren't just about Barrie's goals. So they expanded the tracking: wins, losses, attendance, streaks. Eventually a fantasy points system was introduced — deliberately designed with no points for goalscoring. “The Barry factor,” Strang explains. “Encourages goalhanging.”
Phil Cass took over the spreadsheet and outsourced it to James Shuker, who worked in finance and actually knew Excel. When James got injured and stopped coming, Phil — who couldn't use Excel himself — sent his handwritten pencil notes to a PA in Thailand to enter into the spreadsheet.
That's the lineage: accountant, finance guy, PA in Thailand, and eventually Ian Strang — who inherited a workbook held together by macros that were a decade out of date.
“I built it out and added more features — streaks, attendance records, personal bests,” Strang says. “But eventually I needed a proper database. Vibe-coding appeared in early 2025, so I gave it a go. Alex, who organises the game every week, kept asking ‘can it do this?’ — balance the teams, track who's available, automate the awards. So I kept going. At some point I thought, fuck it, I'll build it end-to-end as a passion project. It's such a niche you'd never start a company to do this. It's purely built for the love of the game.”
The app now produces instant match reports, awards voted for by the players (Man of the Match, Donkey of the Day), and the Grim Reaper — a negative version of the yellow jersey in cycling, awarded for the worst recent performance. It sticks by your name in every team line-up and match report. Nobody wants it. It creates enormous banter.
The numbers
The 0-0 rate — 0.42% — makes grassroots small-sided football roughly 18 times less likely to produce a goalless draw than the Premier League. But that's just the start.
Goals per match have risen 38% in a decade, from 6.15 in 2012 to 8.50 in 2024. Hat-tricks have quadrupled: 7 in 2019, 28 in 2025. Close games — those decided by a single goal — have halved, from 48% to 24%. Nobody entirely knows why.
And the group itself has grown. The player pool is up 62% since COVID, with 96% of pre-lockdown players returning. 2025 saw 19 new players — the biggest intake in history.
These aren't cherry-picked. They're what 15 years of continuous data shows when you actually track the same game, with the same people, in the same place.
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
The brothers
Barrie Miles and Lee Miles have been there since the very first match: 6 January 2011. Between them, 985 games and 642 goals. But the brothers couldn't be more different.
Barrie scored 573 goals in 469 matches — a rate of 1.22 per game. For context, Erling Haaland's Premier League rate is roughly 0.72. The comparison is imperfect — this is 9-a-side with no offside and no dedicated goalkeeper — but the volume and consistency over 469 matches are the point. Barrie won 12 consecutive Golden Boots, from 2011 to 2022. Nobody else won it for over a decade.
“I had to stop playing 11-a-side due to a treble leg break in 2002,” Barrie says. “I thought football was over for me. To get back to a level of fitness to play for another 12 years with a great bunch of guys — including with and against my brother — meant the world to me. And offside not being in play was the cherry on the cake.”
An earlier knee injury — snapping his meniscus in the act of scoring when they were still at the leisure centre — had already cost him. “Probably shortened my playing years by 5–10,” he says, “but gave my brother a chance to get involved in my place, so a silver lining.”
His favourite memory? “Scoring 7 goals twice were definitely highlights. My overhead against Sean in almost my last game was a very happy memory. Four assists to Pete and Cal in one night surprised a few people who hadn't realised I knew how to pass.”
Lee, meanwhile, has 516 games and 69 goals. He's what the data calls a Ghost — the archetype for players who show up every week, rarely score, and form the defensive backbone. He's one of seven players from the original 21 who are still playing fifteen years on.
Barrie, whose knee finally gave out in March 2023, is not. 573 goals. Twenty-seven short of his target of 600.
“I was hoping to get to 600 and leave on a high,” he says, “but the last injury stopped me. The joy I always had since discovering at 5 I could run and kick a ball and score goals — to test myself against some great, technically better players of which Thursday had loads. Great times — miss it so much.”
The successor
In October 2022, Pete Hay turned up for the first time. He scored five goals in a 15-2 — the highest-scoring match in the group's history. By 2023, the Golden Boot was his. He hasn't given it back.
“I think Johnno invited me,” Pete says. “I was still playing Berko Sunday Premier League at the time, so I had plenty in the legs. Loved it from the first minute — reconnected with loads of old mates.”
In 132 games, Pete has scored 173 goals at 1.31 per game — even more prolific than Barrie at his peak. Asked about Barrie's record, he says simply: “At the time Barrie was playing and bagging loads of goals hanging around up top.”
Barrie, for his part, is gracious: “Peter is such a good striker I was only ever impressed, never jealous. I just wish I could have played a few more with him!”
Pete's arrival created a problem: how do you balance teams when one player is that dominant? His team was winning at +0.90 goals per game. Blowouts doubled.
Alex Chaplin — the man who has run the game for years, the bibs, the pitch, the WhatsApp chasing — had been picking teams manually. The “Al'gorithm”, they called it. “Like directing a film,” Alex says. “You want the audience to leave feeling happy — and that means a close game, a nailbiting movie. I'd feel a lot of pressure to make sure the games felt balanced.”
“Before the app, I used to dread getting back from holiday,” Alex admits, “because they'd all tell me how much closer the games were when someone else was balancing the teams.”
It wasn't enough anymore. So Strang built a real one.
“I mostly play against Sharpy and Scotty, which is always a nice battle,” Pete says. “It makes me ten times more determined. Also increases the workout. And has resulted in the odd visible strop as well as plenty of hidden sulks.”
Why it matters
The group now ranges from 35 to 60. Over half used to get paid to play — at Hemel Town, Berkhamsted FC, and other local clubs. The rest started as enthusiastic amateurs — though the standard has risen over the years. Many still play 11-a-side too, including for Berkhamsted Raiders Vets, who recently went almost two years unbeaten. Everyone cares if they win. Their day jobs range from project management and marketing to loft conversion, Salesforce, and cycling photography. Three sit on the steering group of Berkhamsted Raiders, one of the largest junior football clubs in the country.
People have been through job losses, family health crises, divorces. Thursday is the constant. “Wives and girlfriends rapidly came round to the idea that Thursday night was blocked out and immovable,” says Sean McKay.
It's not just football, either. Strong bonds were built early through golf tours, trips to Windsor Races, and end-of-season awards at the sadly departed New Akash. There have been black-tie Christmas dos with champagne and caterers. One year the awards were sponsored by “Cock & Balls Insurance”; another was given over to hundreds of Missing posters for a player who'd dropped out late. People don't retire because they want to — it's normally through injury.
Alex Chaplin has played 628 games — more than Ryan Giggs managed in the Premier League — and has run the game for years. He barely drinks during the week, but he's always in the pub afterwards with a lime and soda, catching up with people. Even on holiday, he's been known to sort the teams from the poolside, beer in hand. “I don't resent it,” he says of the organising. “It's part of giving back something to something that's given me so much. It's more than football, it's a community.”
Asked if anyone ever thanks him, he pauses. “You don't thank your Dad every day for being around — until maybe on their deathbed. You just both implicitly understand the relationship and appreciate it.”
“Men need a gang,” Strang says. “Something to be part of, and competition and banter. Thursday night is the highlight of many of our weeks.”
Tarik Windle describes the gravitational pull of TNF — he'd played a few Monday night games with some of the same lads, but Thursday kept drawing him closer. “TNF is the most important part of my week,” he says. “Not only do we all get to keep fit and active, the social side is something I wouldn't want to miss. The organisation is military, and it's topped off with a visit to the pub to laugh about strong and poor performances.”
Grinners — 501 games, a win rate of 36%, still there every Thursday at 60 — has a take on competition that the close-games data bears out: “I always play to win of course, but a really tight, competitive game where you walk off the pitch feeling like you've had a good workout is infinitely better than a heavy win or defeat.”
Asked what the best thing about Thursdays is that has nothing to do with winning, he doesn't hesitate. “The faces have changed over the years, but TNF is the perfect mix of competitive and social football, with a great crowd of players of varying abilities. I also love the post-drink beer which sets up the weekend nicely. In the old days we'd often have a lock-in at The Lamb until 1-2am. Now a couple in the G&D suffices.”
The lock-ins at The Lamb are the stuff of legend. The landlord, Anton — sadly no longer with us — would pull the curtains and occasionally let the players pull the pints. One night, Phil Cass stayed in the bar until his taxi to the airport arrived at 5am. His wife was waiting in the car. She's no longer his wife.
Sean McKay — 597 games, there from almost the start, the all-time fantasy points leader despite being only 7th in goals — calls it “as essential as oxygen and far more important.” But he puts it most directly when he says: “TNF football turned me from an isolated immigrant to Berko, to someone at the heart of a community, a band of brothers with something to look forward to every Monday morning.”
Elite football tracks every sprint, every touch, every expected goal. This group did the same thing — but for an hour under floodlights in Hertfordshire every Thursday.
The result isn't just a dataset. It's a record of what happens when ordinary people apply elite-level tracking to their own rituals — and what that reveals about football, friendship, and ageing. The same trends visible at Wembley are playing out on a school pitch in Berkhamsted. Goals are inflating. Close games are dying. Hat-tricks are exploding. And a group of men who were in their thirties when this started are now pushing fifty, and they've never stopped. The tools to quantify games like this are now mainstream.
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
Everything below is what the data shows: the trends, the records, the characters, the oddities. If you find a story in it, it's yours.
Stories Inside This Dataset
Eleven ready-made angles for feature writers, data journalists, or anyone building their own piece. Each links to supporting data below.
In 718 Matches, Just Three Goalless Draws
Grassroots small-sided football is 18 times less likely to end 0-0 than the Premier League. In the entire 15-year history of this Thursday night game, there have been just three goalless draws. The last was 6 February 2020 — 266 consecutive matches ago and counting.
3 goalless draws in 718 matches (0.42%) · PL rate ~7–8% · 266-match scoring streak (ongoing)
See: Data Vault → Scoreline Bingo, Goal DistributionGoals Are Inflating — And Nobody Knows Why
Goals per match have risen 38% in a decade. Hat-tricks have quadrupled. Clean sheets have halved. The same attacking inflation visible in elite football is playing out in amateur vets football every Thursday night. And like the professionals, nobody can fully explain it.
6.15 → 8.50 goals/match · Hat-tricks: 7 (2019) → 28 (2025) · Clean sheets: 12.5% → 4.3% · Draws: 21.6% → 8.0%
See: Data Vault → Goal Inflation, Hat-Trick Epidemic, Clean Sheet DeclineThe Close Game Is an Endangered Species
In 2013, nearly half of all matches were decided by a single goal. By 2025, that's dropped to a quarter. Blowouts now account for over half of all games. The cliff coincides with the arrival of a dominant scorer in late 2022 — whose impact ultimately triggered the introduction of an AI team-balancing algorithm. And yet no regular player has a career win rate above 53.3%. The games are more lopsided than ever, but the players are perfectly balanced.
Close games: 48% → 24% · Blowouts (3+): 24% → 54% · Best win rate (50+ games): 53.3%
See: Data Vault → Win Percentage, Competitiveness DataGrassroots Football Isn't Dying — It's Booming
Since COVID, the player pool has grown 62%: from 34 to 55 unique players. 96% of pre-lockdown players came back. 2025 saw 19 new players — the biggest intake in history. The top scorer's share of total goals has fallen from 24% to 16%. The growth isn't diluting the game — it's democratising it.
Player pool +62% · 96% COVID return · 19 new in 2025 · Top scorer share: 24% → 16%
“At this rate I'll be playing until 70.”— Grinners, age 60, 501 gamesSee: Data Vault → Community & Cohorts, Retention, Goal Concentration
The Man Who Played 628 Thursday Night Games (And Organised Every One)
One man has more appearances than Ryan Giggs's entire Premier League career — but over 15 years, not 24. He's also the one who has run the game for years: the WhatsApp chasing, the bibs, the pitch, the teams. He barely drinks, but he's always in the pub afterwards with a lime and soda.
628 games · 16 calendar years · 67-week consecutive streak · 204 winter games · ~79% attendance rate
“Like directing a film — you want the audience to leave feeling happy, and that means a close game, a nailbiting movie.”See: Data Vault → All-Time Appearances, Consecutive Attendance, Winter Warriors
The 573-Goal Striker Who Was Told He'd Never Play Again
After a treble leg break in 2002, Barrie Miles thought football was over. Instead he scored 573 goals over 12 years in a Thursday night vets game, won 12 consecutive Golden Boots, and retired 27 goals short of his 600 target when his knee finally gave out. His brother Lee has been there from the same first match — 516 games, 69 goals. One retired, one still there.
573 goals · 469 games · 1.22/game · 12 consecutive Golden Boots · 7 goals in one match (twice)
“To get back to play for another 12 years meant the world to me. Miss it so much.”— Barrie MilesSee: Data Vault → All-Time Scorers, Golden Boot Winners, Succession Timeline
These Dads Built an Algorithm to Balance Their Weekly Kickabout
When one player started winning at +0.90 goals per game, manual team selection couldn't cope. So the group's app builder coded a genetic algorithm to balance teams around dominant players. Early results: the star player's team advantage halved, but his individual output didn't change. 37 post-algorithm matches. Promising, not proven.
Team advantage: +0.90 → +0.44 · Win rate: 52.4% → 48.1% · Goals/game: unchanged at 1.33
“It makes me ten times more determined. Also increases the workout. And has resulted in the odd visible strop as well as plenty of hidden sulks.”— Pete HaySee: Data Vault → Algorithm Deep-Dive
Why Do Men Keep Score?
Fifteen years. Nearly 5,000 goals. Fantasy points. Christmas curry awards. A spreadsheet that went to Thailand. Man of the Match votes. A "Grim Reaper" badge nobody wants. Strava did it to cycling. Garmin did it to running. Now it's happened to a Thursday night kickabout. Why do men need to quantify the things they love?
15 years · 83 players · 7 founders still playing · 85–100% annual retention
“Men need a gang, something to be part of, and competition and banter.”See: Data Vault → Community & Cohorts, Fantasy Points
The Invisible Players Who Make Games Worth Watching
The most valuable players aren't the top scorers. When certain players are on the pitch, winning margins shrink by half a goal and close games increase by 5%. The all-time fantasy points leader (Sean McKay, 10,340 points) is only the 7th-highest scorer. One outfield player went 190 consecutive games without scoring — and still turned up every Thursday for four years.
Margin delta: up to +0.52 when glue guys play · Fantasy leader ≠ top scorer · 190-game scoreless streak (Stuart Nolan)
See: Data Vault → Fantasy Points, Chemistry Pairs, Goal Drought RecordsThe Greatest Matches Ever Played
Two 6-6 draws share the top spot on the Quality Match Index. A 9-8 thriller — 17 goals, 9 different scorers — ranks fourth. And in 718 matches and 4,959 goals, no team has ever won 8-0. There have been 15-1 and 15-2 scorelines. But never an 8-0.
Two 6-6 draws (joint #1 quality) · 9-8 match (17 goals, 9 scorers) · 8-0 has never happened
See: Data Vault → Quality Match Index, Scoreline Bingo, Extreme MatchesFather Time Takes Your Goals, Not Your Game
Every one of the seven founding players still active has seen their scoring rate decline — most by 80% or more. Grinners scored every other game in 2011; by 2019, he'd effectively stopped. Sean McKay scored 26 goals in his first year; last year he managed 2. But fantasy points — which measure wins, clean sheets, and margins rather than goals — tell a different story. Grinners' scoring fell 88%. His points per game fell just 10%. Jon Hammersley's best PPG season was 2021 — a full decade after his scoring peak. Alex Chaplin, at 628 games, is having a late-career renaissance since starting resistance-band training. The legs go. The goals dry up. The game doesn't.
Scoring decline: 72–100% across all 7 founders · Grinners: goals −88%, PPG −10% · Jon Hammersley: PPG peaked a decade after goals · Barrie Miles: retired at 573 goals when the knee finally won
See: Data Vault → The Ageing Curve, Magnificent SevenThe Data Vault
Full record books, leaderboards, fun stats, and reference data. Each section is collapsible — click to expand.
Record Book
All-Time Records
| Record | Holder | Value | Date / Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Most goals in a game | Barrie Miles | 7 | 5 Sep 2013 (9-3) |
| Longest win streak | Dave Wates | 10 | Oct 2024 – Jul 2025 |
| Longest undefeated streak | Barrie Miles / Mark Chappell / Chris Smith | 14 | Shared |
| Longest losing streak | Grinners | 11 | Sep 2023 – Feb 2024 |
| Longest winless streak | Greg Dormer | 14 | Aug 2021 – Jan 2022 |
| Longest scoring streak | Tarik Windle / Barrie Miles (×2) | 13 | Shared |
| Longest attendance streak | Alex Chaplin | 67 weeks | Feb 2011 – Jun 2012 |
| Biggest victory | — | 15-1 | 13 Mar 2025 |
| Highest-scoring match | — | 15-2 (17 goals) | 13 Oct 2022 |
| Longest 0-0 drought | Ongoing | 266 matches | 6 Feb 2020 – present |
| Most hat-tricks (career) | Barrie Miles | 59 | — |
| Most hat-tricks (season) | Barrie Miles | ~16 | 2011, 2016 |
Consecutive Attendance Records
| Name | Consecutive Weeks | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaplin | 67 | Feb 2011 – Jun 2012 |
| Alex Chaplin | 43 | 2nd streak |
| Alex Chaplin | 39 | 3rd streak |
| Rich Moriarty | 36 | — |
| Ali Wilson | 36 | — |
| Alex Chaplin | 35 | 4th streak |
| Sean McKay | 34 | ×3 separate streaks |
| Barrie Miles | 33 | — |
| Daryl Master | 32 | — |
Goal Drought Records (consecutive outfield games without scoring)
| Name | Drought Length | Period |
|---|---|---|
| Stuart Nolan | 190 games | 2011–2017 |
| Kevin Sears | 75 | 2018–2021 |
| Matt Judd | 72 | 2014–2022 |
| Sharpey | 47 | 2024–2025 |
| Daryl Master | 45 | 2018–2019 |
Most Unique Scorers in a Single Match
| Date | Score | Unique Scorers | Total Players |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2014 | 8-5 | 10 | 18 |
| 13 Oct 2022 | 15-2 | 10 | 18 |
| 11 Dec 2025 | 4-7 | 9 | 18 |
| 1 Aug 2019 | 8-5 | 9 | 16 |
Best 10-Game Runs (Hot Hand)
| Player | Best 10-Game Goals | Career Avg/Game |
|---|---|---|
| Barrie Miles | 24 | 1.22 |
| Pete Hay | 21 | 1.31 |
| James Shuker | 20 | 0.84 |
| Paul Wright | 18 | 0.70 |
| Luke Inks | 17 | 1.00 |
| Tarik Windle | 17 | — |
Fastest to Milestone Goals
| Milestone | Fastest Player | Games | Runner-up | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 goals | Barrie Miles | 33 | Pete Hay | 47 |
| 100 goals | Barrie Miles | 71 | Pete Hay | 75 |
| 200 goals | Barrie Miles | 139 | James Shuker | 246 |
Leaderboards
All-Time Top Scorers
| # | Name | Goals | Games | Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barrie Miles | 573 | 469 | 1.22 |
| 2 | James Shuker | 246 | 294 | 0.84 |
| 3 | Simon Gill | 217 | 286 | 0.76 |
| 4 | Alex Chaplin | 218 | 628 | 0.35 |
| 5 | Pete Hay | 173 | 132 | 1.31 |
| 6 | Cupcakes | 159 | 458 | 0.35 |
| 7 | Sean McKay | 142 | 597 | 0.24 |
| 8 | H | 140 | 380 | 0.37 |
| 9 | Mark Chappell | 115 | 350 | 0.33 |
| 10 | Greg Dormer | 112 | 199 | 0.56 |
All-Time Appearances
| # | Name | Games | Years Active | Attendance Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alex Chaplin | 628 | 2011–2026 (16 yrs) | 0.79/week |
| 2 | Sean McKay | 597 | 2011–2026 (15 yrs) | 0.76/week |
| 3 | Lee Miles | 516 | 2011–2025 (14 yrs) | 0.67/week |
| 4 | Grinners | 501 | 2011–2026 (15 yrs) | 0.63/week |
| 5 | Jon Hammersley | 479 | 2011–2026 (15 yrs) | 0.61/week |
| 6 | Barrie Miles | 469 | 2011–2023 (12 yrs) | 0.74/week |
| 7 | Cupcakes | 458 | 2011–2024 (13 yrs) | 0.63/week |
| 8 | Rich Moriarty | 426 | 2011–2025 (14 yrs) | 0.57/week |
| 9 | Daryl Master | 387 | 2011–2022 (11 yrs) | 0.67/week |
| 10 | H | 380 | 2012–2025 (13 yrs) | 0.53/week |
Fantasy Points All-Time Leaders
| # | Name | Fantasy Points | Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sean McKay | 10,340 | 597 |
| 2 | Lee Miles | 9,060 | 516 |
| 3 | Alex Chaplin | 9,050 | 628 |
| 4 | Jon Hammersley | 8,570 | 479 |
| 5 | Barrie Miles | 8,300 | 469 |
Fantasy points reward wins, clean sheets, and heavy wins — not just goals. Sean McKay tops this despite being 7th in goals.
Golden Boot Winners
| Year | Winner | Goals | Games | Per Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | Barrie Miles | 66 | 44 | 1.50 |
| 2012 | Barrie Miles | 57 | 44 | 1.30 |
| 2013 | Barrie Miles | 67 | 42 | 1.60 |
| 2014 | Barrie Miles | 46 | 41 | 1.12 |
| 2015 | Barrie Miles | 62 | 44 | 1.41 |
| 2016 | Barrie Miles | 70 | 42 | 1.67 |
| 2017 | Barrie Miles | 45 | 38 | 1.18 |
| 2018 | Barrie Miles | 35 | 42 | 0.83 |
| 2019 | Barrie Miles | 36 | 39 | 0.92 |
| 2020 | Barrie Miles | 14 | 21 | 0.67 |
| 2021 | Barrie Miles | 37 | 26 | 1.42 |
| 2022 | Barrie Miles | 33 | 38 | 0.87 |
| 2023 | Pete Hay | 45 | 41 | 1.10 |
| 2024 | Pete Hay | 58 | 35 | 1.66 |
| 2025 | Pete Hay | 52 | 41 | 1.27 |
Hat-Trick Kings
| Name | Hat-tricks (3+) | 4+ Goal Games | 5+ Goal Games |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barrie Miles | 59 | 24 | 9 |
| Pete Hay | 23 | 8 | 6 |
| James Shuker | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| Simon Gill | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| H | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| Greg Dormer | 7 | 1 | 0 |
Barrie Miles scored a hat-trick in 12.6% of all games he played. Pete Hay: 17.4%.
Clean Sheet Leaders
| Name | Clean Sheets | Games | CS Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cupcakes | 28 | 458 | 6.1% |
| Jon Hammersley | 26 | 479 | 5.4% |
| Sean McKay | 26 | 597 | 4.4% |
| H | 22 | 380 | 5.8% |
| Cass | 21 | 378 | 5.6% |
Clean sheets are team-level awards. Only ~4.3% of all appearances resulted in a clean sheet.
Winter Warriors (Nov–Feb Games)
| Name | Winter Games |
|---|---|
| Alex Chaplin | 205 |
| Sean McKay | 192 |
| Grinners | 176 |
| Barrie Miles | 158 |
| Lee Miles | 154 |
Highest Win Percentage (50+ games)
| Name | Win % | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Steve McGrail | 53.3% | 75 |
| Johnno | 53.1% | 98 |
| Range | 52.7% | 201 |
| Pete Hay | 51.5% | 132 |
| Cal McKay | 51.5% | 68 |
Best Player Chemistry (30+ games together)
| Pair | Games Together | Avg Fantasy Points |
|---|---|---|
| Range + Jon Hammersley | 68 | 24.71 |
| Steve McGrail + Pete Hay | 30 | 24.67 |
| Johnno + Jon Hammersley | 31 | 23.55 |
| Range + Pete Hay | 33 | 23.33 |
| Ian Pudney + Cupcakes | 81 | 22.96 |
| Simon Gill + Scott Daly | 31 | 22.90 |
| Ian Pudney + Lee Miles | 99 | 22.63 |
| Mark Chappell + Lee Miles | 117 | 22.39 |
Best Trios (30+ games together, same team)
| Trio | Games | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|
| Lee Miles + Ian Pudney + Cupcakes | 39 | 82.1% |
| Jon Hammersley + Range + H | 22 | 77.3% |
| Ian Pudney + Alex Chaplin + Matt Judd | 28 | 75.0% |
| Jon Hammersley + Ian Pudney + Cupcakes | 23 | 73.9% |
| Ian Pudney + Sean McKay + Cupcakes | 30 | 73.3% |
Ian Pudney appears in 4 of the top 5 trios.
Scoreline Bingo & Fun Stats
Most Common Scorelines
| Scoreline | Count | % |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 49 | 6.8% |
| 4-3 | 45 | 6.3% |
| 4-2 | 44 | 6.1% |
| 3-1 | 38 | 5.3% |
| 5-3 | 36 | 5.0% |
Never-Seen Scorelines (in 718 matches)
8-0 · 9-1 · 10-0 · 10-3 · 7-7 · 10-5 · 8-8
4,959 goals. 15-1 and 15-2 scorelines. But never an 8-0.
Greatest Matches (Quality Match Index)
| # | Date | Score | Goals | Scorers | Quality Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 May 2023 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 0.969 |
| 1= | 24 Oct 2024 | 6-6 | 12 | 7 | 0.969 |
| 3 | 7 Mar 2024 | 5-5 | 10 | 8 | 0.950 |
| 4 | 24 May 2018 | 9-8 | 17 | 9 | 0.933 |
| 5 | 10 Oct 2024 | 5-5 | 10 | 7 | 0.919 |
24 May 2018: 9-8. Seventeen goals. Nine different scorers.
Who Owns Each Month?
| Month | Best Player | Years | Games | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| January | Bob Craddock | 3 | 11 | 28.1 |
| February | Ian Pudney | 6 | 20 | 30.4 |
| March | Mark Chalwin | 4 | 14 | 24.0 |
| April | Matt Judd | 5 | 16 | 25.0 |
| May | H | 8 | 29 | 22.2 |
| June | Pete Hay | 3 | 12 | 26.6 |
| July | Scott Daly | 3 | 11 | 23.6 |
| August | Howard | 3 | 11 | 23.1 |
| September | Simon Gill | 6 | 23 | 22.8 |
| October | Range | 5 | 17 | 25.7 |
| November | Matt Judd | 5 | 18 | 26.7 |
| December | Cupcakes | 7 | 21 | 22.4 |
Best average fantasy points per game by calendar month. Min. 3 games in a month, across at least 3 different years. Measured by contribution, not goals — 11 different players own the 12 months.
Debuts
40% of all players scored on debut.45.5% won their first match.Average debut goals: 0.65 (below career average for most — debuts are harder than they look).
Losing With a Hat-Trick
James Shuker once scored 4 goals and lost (8-6, June 2024). Barrie Miles lost with 3 goals four times.
Milestones & Timeline
| Milestone | Date | Match # | Score | Story |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goal #1,000 | 28 Nov 2013 | 144 | 5-4 | 8 different scorers |
| Goal #2,000 | 1 Dec 2016 | 294 | 9-6 | Butts(3), Chaplin(2), H(2), Barrie(2) |
| Goal #3,000 | 12 Dec 2019 | 445 | 4-4 | Greg Dormer scored all 4 for his team |
| Goal #4,000 | 21 Sep 2023 | 600 | 3-3 | 6 different scorers |
| Match #100 | 17 Jan 2013 | — | — | Just 2 years in |
| Match #500 | 30 Sep 2021 | — | — | Post-COVID milestone |
| Match #700 | 16 Oct 2025 | — | — | In the algorithm era |
Community & Cohorts
Community Pyramid
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
| Tier | Players | Total Appearances | % of All Appearances |
|---|---|---|---|
| 500+ (Legends) | 4 | 2,242 | 19.6% |
| 300–499 (Veterans) | 9 | 3,632 | 31.8% |
| 100–299 (Established) | 21 | 4,146 | 36.3% |
| 50–99 (Regulars) | 13 | 1,005 | 8.8% |
| 20–49 (Semi-Regular) | 8 | 285 | 2.5% |
| 5–19 (Occasional) | 7 | 75 | 0.7% |
| 1–4 (Fleeting) | 18 | 31 | 0.3% |
13 players (Legends + Veterans) account for 51.3% of all appearances.
The Magnificent Seven — Original Players Still Active
| Name | Games | First Game | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Chaplin | 628 | 6 Jan 2011 | Organiser |
| Sean McKay | 597 | 20 Jan 2011 | Fantasy points leader |
| Lee Miles | 516 | 6 Jan 2011 | Barrie's brother |
| Grinners | 501 | 6 Jan 2011 | Age 60, loyal loser |
| Jon Hammersley | 479 | 20 Jan 2011 | — |
| Rich Moriarty | 426 | 10 Mar 2011 | — |
| Kevin Sears | 305 | 6 Jan 2011 | Loyal loser + founder |
Combined: 3,452 appearances across 7 players who have never left.
The Ageing Curve — What Fifteen Years Does
Every founding player's scoring rate has declined. But the fantasy points — which measure contribution to winning, not goals — reveal that the game doesn't leave you as fast as the goals do.
Alex Chaplin
Sean McKay
Grinners
Jon Hammersley
Lee Miles
Rich Moriarty
Kevin Sears
Barrie Miles
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
| Player | Peak Goals/Game | Peak Year | 2025 Goals/Game | Goal Decline | PPG Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McKay | 0.63 | 2011 | 0.05 | −92% | Stable at 15–20 for 15 years |
| Grinners | 0.59 | 2011 | 0.07 | −88% | −10% (goals vanished, game didn't) |
| Jon Hammersley | 0.56 | 2011 | 0.11 | −80% | PPG peaked 2021 — decade after goals |
| Alex Chaplin | 0.54 | 2019 | 0.09 | −83% | Renaissance in 2026 (resistance bands) |
| Rich Moriarty | 0.32 | 2014 | 0.00 | −100% | PPG holding steady (fewer games) |
| Lee Miles | 0.32 | 2016 | 0.09 | −72% | Never a prolific scorer (The Ghost) |
| Kevin Sears | 0.30 | 2011 | 0.00 | −100% | Founding loyalist, 305 games |
| Barrie Miles † | 1.67 | 2016 | Retired | — | Knee gave out at 573 goals |
Goals/game = outfield games only. PPG = fantasy points per game (rewards wins, clean sheets, margins). † = retired. All data 2011–2026.
New Player Intake by Year
| Year | New Players | Notable |
|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 23 | The founding class |
| 2012 | 2 | — |
| 2013–2015 | 0 | No new blood for 3 years |
| 2016 | 4 | First wave |
| 2017–2018 | 4 | — |
| 2019 | 3 | — |
| 2020–2021 | 0 | COVID years |
| 2022 | 12 | The big bang (incl. future GOAT successor) |
| 2023 | 5 | — |
| 2024 | 6 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | Biggest intake ever |
| 2026 | 2 | In progress |
Cohort Success Rates
| Intake Year | Size | Median Games | Regulars (50+) | Established (100+) | Fleeting (<10) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 23 | 305 | 23 (100%) | 21 (91%) | 0 |
| 2012 | 2 | 337 | 2 (100%) | 2 (100%) | 0 |
| 2016 | 4 | 205 | 3 (75%) | 3 (75%) | 0 |
| 2019 | 3 | 130 | 3 (100%) | 2 (67%) | 0 |
| 2022 | 10 | 85 | 10 (100%) | 3 (30%) | 0 |
| 2024 | 5 | 36 | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) | 0 |
Zero fleeting players across ALL cohorts pre-2024.
Year-on-Year Retention
| Year | Players | Played Again | Retention |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 23 | 23 | 100% |
| 2012 | 25 | 25 | 100% |
| 2013 | 25 | 24 | 96% |
| 2014 | 24 | 23 | 96% |
| 2015 | 23 | 23 | 100% |
| 2016 | 27 | 25 | 93% |
| 2017 | 27 | 25 | 93% |
| 2018 | 26 | 24 | 92% |
| 2019 | 27 | 25 | 93% |
| 2020 (COVID) | 25 | 24 | 96% |
| 2021 | 24 | 24 | 100% |
| 2022 | 36 | 33 | 92% |
| 2023 | 39 | 34 | 87% |
| 2024 | 40 | 34 | 85% |
Retention = player appeared in at least one subsequent year. 2025 excluded (2026 season incomplete).
Reference Data
Goal Distribution
| Goals in Match | Count | % |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 0.4% |
| 1–3 | 82 | 11.4% |
| 4–6 | 262 | 36.5% |
| 7–9 | 239 | 33.3% |
| 10–12 | 101 | 14.1% |
| 13+ | 31 | 4.3% |
Most common: 6 total goals (101 matches, 14.1%).
10+ goals: 132 (18.4%) · 12+ goals: 60 (8.4%) · 15+ goals: 12 (1.7%)
Seasonality
| Month | Avg Goals | Avg Players | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 6.78 | 17.6 | — |
| February | 6.63 | 17.3 | — |
| March | 7.38 | 17.3 | Spring surge |
| April | 5.88 | 16.8 | Lowest scoring |
| May | 7.08 | 16.5 | — |
| June | 7.21 | 16.4 | — |
| July | 6.80 | 16.3 | — |
| August | 6.58 | 15.3 | Holiday dip |
| September | 6.84 | 16.9 | — |
| October | 6.80 | 17.2 | — |
| November | 7.78 | 16.9 | Highest scoring — dark nights = chaos |
| December | 7.19 | 16.5 | — |
Scoring Breadth (% of players who scored at least once)
| Year | Unique Players | Unique Scorers | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 23 | 22 | 95.7% |
| 2016 | 27 | 23 | 85.2% |
| 2019 | 27 | 23 | 85.2% |
| 2022 | 36 | 32 | 88.9% |
| 2024 | 40 | 37 | 92.5% |
| 2025 | 53 | 38 | 71.7% |
Squad Size vs Goals
| Squad Size | Matches | Avg Goals | Avg Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10–12 (small) | 48 | 7.23 | 2.06 |
| 13–14 | 83 | 6.47 | 2.04 |
| 15–16 | 138 | 7.08 | 2.21 |
| 17–18 (most common) | 445 | 6.91 | 2.47 |
Hat-Trick Inflation
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
| Year | Hat-tricks | Matches w/ Hat-trick | % w/ Hat-trick | Matches w/ 2+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 7 | 7 | 14.0% | 0 |
| 2022 | 8 | 7 | 14.0% | 1 |
| 2024 | 23 | 18 | 39.1% | 5 |
| 2025 | 28 | 22 | 44.0% | 5 |
Clean Sheet Decline
| Year | Matches | CS Matches | CS Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | 48 | 6 | 12.5% |
| 2015 | 49 | 6 | 12.2% |
| 2019 | 50 | 3 | 6.0% |
| 2022 | 50 | 3 | 6.0% |
| 2024 | 46 | 2 | 4.3% |
| 2025 | 50 | 4 | 8.0% |
Goal Concentration (is it a one-man show?)
| Year | Top Scorer Share | Top 3 Share | Num Players |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2011 | 19.9% | 40.8% | 23 |
| 2016 | 24.1% | 41.4% | 27 |
| 2019 | 12.9% | 30.0% | 27 |
| 2022 | 13.9% | 32.8% | 34 |
| 2024 | 17.4% | 35.7% | 35 |
| 2025 | 16.3% | 36.7% | 32 |
Despite Pete Hay's dominance, his share (16–17%) is much lower than Barrie's peak (24%). 2019 was the most egalitarian year.
Succession Timeline (Barrie Miles vs Pete Hay)
| Year | Barrie Goals | Barrie GPG | Pete Goals | Pete GPG | Golden Boot |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 70 | 1.67 | — | — | Barrie |
| 2017 | 45 | 1.18 | — | — | Barrie |
| 2018 | 35 | 0.83 | — | — | Barrie (decline begins) |
| 2019 | 36 | 0.92 | — | — | Barrie |
| 2020 | 14 | 0.67 | — | — | Barrie (COVID) |
| 2021 | 37 | 1.42 | — | — | Barrie (renaissance) |
| 2022 | 33 | 0.87 | 14 | 1.27 | Barrie (overlap year) |
| 2023 | 5 | 0.63 | 45 | 1.10 | Pete (torch passes) |
| 2024 | — | — | 58 | 1.66 | Pete |
| 2025 | — | — | 52 | 1.27 | Pete |
Player Archetypes
| Archetype | Players | Characteristics |
|---|---|---|
| The Machine | Luke Inks | High avg, low variance. Consistent and prolific. |
| Boom or Bust | Pete Hay, Barrie Miles | High avg, huge variance. Hat-trick or nothing. |
| The Metronome | Steve Gamston, H, Cupcakes, Alex Chaplin, Tim Watkins, Mark Chappell | Steady, low-scoring, reliable. The backbone. |
| The Ghost | Sean McKay, Grinners, Lee Miles, Rich Moriarty, Stuart Nolan | Rarely score. Present every week. The defensive core. |
Flat-Track Bully Index
| Player | Goals/Game (Close) | Goals/Game (Blowout) | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Foley | 0.58 | 0.50 | Big-Game Player |
| Steve Gamston | 0.69 | 0.76 | Consistent |
| Barrie Miles | 1.01 | 1.73 | Flat-Track Bully |
| Pete Hay | 1.00 | 1.92 | Flat-Track Bully |
| Simon Gill | 0.63 | 1.08 | Blowout specialist |
| James Shuker | 0.77 | 0.97 | Consistent |
Algorithm Deep-Dive
The genetic algorithm was deployed in June 2025 to balance teams around dominant players. 37 post-algorithm matches as of February 2026 — early results, not final proof. 19 new players in 2025 are a significant confounding factor.
Team advantage
−51%
Win rate
−4.3pp
Goals/game
+2%
Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)
Before vs After
| Metric | No Algorithm | With Algorithm |
|---|---|---|
| Pete's team advantage | +0.90/game | +0.44 (halved) |
| Pete's win rate | 52.4% | 48.1% (below 50%) |
| Pete's goals/game | 1.30 | 1.33 (unchanged) |
You can balance around talent. You can't stop it.
Monthly Breakdown 2025
| Month | League Avg Margin | Close % | Pete Win % | Pete Team Margin | Era |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan | 2.25 | 50% | 50% | +0.25 | Pre-algo |
| Feb | 3.75 | 25% | 100% | +1.50 | Pre-algo |
| Mar | 6.25 | 25% | 75% | +2.25 | Pre-algo |
| Apr | 3.00 | 0% | 25% | -1.00 | Pre-algo |
| May | 3.40 | 20% | 50% | +0.25 | Pre-algo |
| Jun | 4.50 | 0% | 75% | +3.00 | ALGO (early) |
| Jul | 2.00 | 60% | 0% | -2.25 | ALGO |
| Aug | 3.00 | 25% | 33% | +1.00 | ALGO |
| Sep | 2.75 | 25% | 33% | -1.00 | ALGO |
| Oct | 3.40 | 20% | 75% | +3.50 | ALGO |
| Nov | 3.75 | 25% | 50% | -0.75 | ALGO |
| Dec | 3.67 | 0% | 0% | -3.00 | ALGO |
| Jan 2026 | 3.75 | 25% | 0% | -2.00 | ALGO |
| Feb 2026 | 1.67 | 67% | 67% | +1.00 | ALGO |
Methodology & Caveats
Every match has been recorded since 6 January 2011. Individual goalscorers are tracked per match. There is no video review — scores are entered by organisers on the night.
How the numbers work
- Total goals (4,959) come from match scores (sum of both sides). Goals attributed to named players total 4,201 (~85%); the remainder are from early tracking and guest appearances.
- Fantasy points are calculated from wins, goals, clean sheets, and margins. The formula is available on request.
- Quality Match Index is a composite of closeness (margin / total goals), goal count, and scoring breadth (unique scorers / total players).
- Player lifecycle: “Active” means played in the last 6 months. “Retired” is explicitly marked. Ringers (RINGER1–7) are excluded from player stats but included in match totals.
- Team balance: Pre-June 2025 = manual selection. June 2025 onwards = algorithmic (performance-based genetic algorithm).
Known caveats
- Match format: Typically 9v9 (average 16–18 players). Not strict 5-a-side. No offside, no dedicated goalkeeper.
- Team A/B convention (pre-2025): The winning team's score was always recorded as Team A. Actual team assignments weren't tracked until 2025. Individual win/loss rates are tracked per player, not per team label.
- Algorithm sample size: Only 37 post-algorithm matches as of February 2026. Early results, not final proof. 19 new players in 2025 are a significant confounding factor.
- Haaland comparison: The format is 9-a-side with no offside and no dedicated goalkeeper. The comparison illustrates volume and consistency, not direct equivalence.
- Scoring breadth decline (2025): 71.7% of players scored at least once, down from 95.7% in 2011. Likely due to a larger group rather than fewer scorers.
Snapshot date
All figures on this page are drawn from the dataset as of 26 February 2026 (718 matches). The game continues every Thursday, so the live numbers will have moved on since publication.
This dataset was compiled using Capo, a tool we built for our own Thursday night game (RSVPs, team balance, stats). If you want details or raw data, email press@caposport.com.