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What Happens When You Track Casual Football Like the Premier League

718 matches. 4,959 goals. Fifteen years of data from one of the most obsessively tracked kickabouts in the country.

By Ian Strang5 March 2026Data as of 26 Feb 2026
718
matches
Every Thursday since January 2011
4,959
goals
An average of 6.9 per match
3
goalless draws
Roughly 18× less likely than the Premier League
266
scoring streak
Consecutive matches with a goal (and counting)
+38%
goal inflation
Goals per match up 38% in a decade
7 → 28
hat-tricks / year
4× more hat-tricks than five years ago
96%
COVID return rate
85–100% retention every single year
55
players in 2025
Up 62% from pre-COVID
~18 yrs
the group
Started as a school dads' kickabout

In 718 matches of amateur football played under floodlights in Berkhamsted, there have been just three goalless draws.

The last was in February 2020. Since then: 266 consecutive matches with at least one goal. Over six years and counting.

4,959 goals. 83 players. Every Thursday night for fifteen years.

One player has appeared in 628 of those matches — almost every Thursday since 2011. This is what happens when a group of school dads start tracking their weekly kickabout like the Premier League — and don't stop.

How it started

Chris Smith and Stefano P set it up as a Victoria Infants School dads' group around 2008. They played at the local leisure centre for three years before moving to Ashlyns School, where the game has been every Thursday since.

For at least the first year, nobody even bothered counting who was winning. No score, no winners, no losers — just an hour of football for blokes in their thirties who missed the game. Those first three years weren't recorded. Nobody knows who scored the most. Nobody knows who won more. That era exists only in memory.

It was Grinners — now 60, still playing, 501 games deep — who suggested they actually keep track during matches. “Habit,” he says, when asked why he still turns up. “I've been doing it now for 18 years and it's a permanent fixture in my weekly diary. I kept setting targets — play until 50, play until 60 — and at this rate I'll be playing until 70.”

Shortly after the move to Ashlyns, Paul Wright — an accountant — started recording who scored. Barrie Miles was enthusiastic about this development. He wanted to know exactly how many goals he'd scored. Everyone else wanted stats that weren't just about Barrie's goals. So they expanded the tracking: wins, losses, attendance, streaks. Eventually a fantasy points system was introduced — deliberately designed with no points for goalscoring. “The Barry factor,” Strang explains. “Encourages goalhanging.”

Phil Cass took over the spreadsheet and outsourced it to James Shuker, who worked in finance and actually knew Excel. When James got injured and stopped coming, Phil — who couldn't use Excel himself — sent his handwritten pencil notes to a PA in Thailand to enter into the spreadsheet.

That's the lineage: accountant, finance guy, PA in Thailand, and eventually Ian Strang — who inherited a workbook held together by macros that were a decade out of date.

“I built it out and added more features — streaks, attendance records, personal bests,” Strang says. “But eventually I needed a proper database. Vibe-coding appeared in early 2025, so I gave it a go. Alex, who organises the game every week, kept asking ‘can it do this?’ — balance the teams, track who's available, automate the awards. So I kept going. At some point I thought, fuck it, I'll build it end-to-end as a passion project. It's such a niche you'd never start a company to do this. It's purely built for the love of the game.”

The app now produces instant match reports, awards voted for by the players (Man of the Match, Donkey of the Day), and the Grim Reaper — a negative version of the yellow jersey in cycling, awarded for the worst recent performance. It sticks by your name in every team line-up and match report. Nobody wants it. It creates enormous banter.

The numbers

The 0-0 rate — 0.42% — makes grassroots small-sided football roughly 18 times less likely to produce a goalless draw than the Premier League. But that's just the start.

Goals per match have risen 38% in a decade, from 6.15 in 2012 to 8.50 in 2024. Hat-tricks have quadrupled: 7 in 2019, 28 in 2025. Close games — those decided by a single goal — have halved, from 48% to 24%. Nobody entirely knows why.

And the group itself has grown. The player pool is up 62% since COVID, with 96% of pre-lockdown players returning. 2025 saw 19 new players — the biggest intake in history.

These aren't cherry-picked. They're what 15 years of continuous data shows when you actually track the same game, with the same people, in the same place.

Goals per match have risen 38% from 2012 to 2024. 2011 was an early-years anomaly; the sustained climb began from 2012.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

Close games (1-goal margins) have halved since 2013. The cliff coincides with a dominant scorer arriving in late 2022.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

Grassroots football isn't dying. This group is 62% bigger than pre-COVID, with near-perfect retention.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

Barrie Miles dominated the scoring charts for over a decade, winning 12 consecutive Golden Boots. Pete Hay arrived in 2022 and has led the scoring ever since.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

The brothers

Barrie Miles and Lee Miles have been there since the very first match: 6 January 2011. Between them, 985 games and 642 goals. But the brothers couldn't be more different.

Barrie scored 573 goals in 469 matches — a rate of 1.22 per game. For context, Erling Haaland's Premier League rate is roughly 0.72. The comparison is imperfect — this is 9-a-side with no offside and no dedicated goalkeeper — but the volume and consistency over 469 matches are the point. Barrie won 12 consecutive Golden Boots, from 2011 to 2022. Nobody else won it for over a decade.

“I had to stop playing 11-a-side due to a treble leg break in 2002,” Barrie says. “I thought football was over for me. To get back to a level of fitness to play for another 12 years with a great bunch of guys — including with and against my brother — meant the world to me. And offside not being in play was the cherry on the cake.”

An earlier knee injury — snapping his meniscus in the act of scoring when they were still at the leisure centre — had already cost him. “Probably shortened my playing years by 5–10,” he says, “but gave my brother a chance to get involved in my place, so a silver lining.”

His favourite memory? “Scoring 7 goals twice were definitely highlights. My overhead against Sean in almost my last game was a very happy memory. Four assists to Pete and Cal in one night surprised a few people who hadn't realised I knew how to pass.”

Lee, meanwhile, has 516 games and 69 goals. He's what the data calls a Ghost — the archetype for players who show up every week, rarely score, and form the defensive backbone. He's one of seven players from the original 21 who are still playing fifteen years on.

Barrie, whose knee finally gave out in March 2023, is not. 573 goals. Twenty-seven short of his target of 600.

“I was hoping to get to 600 and leave on a high,” he says, “but the last injury stopped me. The joy I always had since discovering at 5 I could run and kick a ball and score goals — to test myself against some great, technically better players of which Thursday had loads. Great times — miss it so much.”

The successor

In October 2022, Pete Hay turned up for the first time. He scored five goals in a 15-2 — the highest-scoring match in the group's history. By 2023, the Golden Boot was his. He hasn't given it back.

“I think Johnno invited me,” Pete says. “I was still playing Berko Sunday Premier League at the time, so I had plenty in the legs. Loved it from the first minute — reconnected with loads of old mates.”

In 132 games, Pete has scored 173 goals at 1.31 per game — even more prolific than Barrie at his peak. Asked about Barrie's record, he says simply: “At the time Barrie was playing and bagging loads of goals hanging around up top.”

Barrie, for his part, is gracious: “Peter is such a good striker I was only ever impressed, never jealous. I just wish I could have played a few more with him!”

Pete's arrival created a problem: how do you balance teams when one player is that dominant? His team was winning at +0.90 goals per game. Blowouts doubled.

Alex Chaplin — the man who has run the game for years, the bibs, the pitch, the WhatsApp chasing — had been picking teams manually. The “Al'gorithm”, they called it. “Like directing a film,” Alex says. “You want the audience to leave feeling happy — and that means a close game, a nailbiting movie. I'd feel a lot of pressure to make sure the games felt balanced.”

“Before the app, I used to dread getting back from holiday,” Alex admits, “because they'd all tell me how much closer the games were when someone else was balancing the teams.”

It wasn't enough anymore. So Strang built a real one.

“I mostly play against Sharpy and Scotty, which is always a nice battle,” Pete says. “It makes me ten times more determined. Also increases the workout. And has resulted in the odd visible strop as well as plenty of hidden sulks.”

Why it matters

The group now ranges from 35 to 60. Over half used to get paid to play — at Hemel Town, Berkhamsted FC, and other local clubs. The rest started as enthusiastic amateurs — though the standard has risen over the years. Many still play 11-a-side too, including for Berkhamsted Raiders Vets, who recently went almost two years unbeaten. Everyone cares if they win. Their day jobs range from project management and marketing to loft conversion, Salesforce, and cycling photography. Three sit on the steering group of Berkhamsted Raiders, one of the largest junior football clubs in the country.

People have been through job losses, family health crises, divorces. Thursday is the constant. “Wives and girlfriends rapidly came round to the idea that Thursday night was blocked out and immovable,” says Sean McKay.

It's not just football, either. Strong bonds were built early through golf tours, trips to Windsor Races, and end-of-season awards at the sadly departed New Akash. There have been black-tie Christmas dos with champagne and caterers. One year the awards were sponsored by “Cock & Balls Insurance”; another was given over to hundreds of Missing posters for a player who'd dropped out late. People don't retire because they want to — it's normally through injury.

Alex Chaplin has played 628 games — more than Ryan Giggs managed in the Premier League — and has run the game for years. He barely drinks during the week, but he's always in the pub afterwards with a lime and soda, catching up with people. Even on holiday, he's been known to sort the teams from the poolside, beer in hand. “I don't resent it,” he says of the organising. “It's part of giving back something to something that's given me so much. It's more than football, it's a community.”

Asked if anyone ever thanks him, he pauses. “You don't thank your Dad every day for being around — until maybe on their deathbed. You just both implicitly understand the relationship and appreciate it.”

“Men need a gang,” Strang says. “Something to be part of, and competition and banter. Thursday night is the highlight of many of our weeks.”

Tarik Windle describes the gravitational pull of TNF — he'd played a few Monday night games with some of the same lads, but Thursday kept drawing him closer. “TNF is the most important part of my week,” he says. “Not only do we all get to keep fit and active, the social side is something I wouldn't want to miss. The organisation is military, and it's topped off with a visit to the pub to laugh about strong and poor performances.”

Grinners — 501 games, a win rate of 36%, still there every Thursday at 60 — has a take on competition that the close-games data bears out: “I always play to win of course, but a really tight, competitive game where you walk off the pitch feeling like you've had a good workout is infinitely better than a heavy win or defeat.”

Asked what the best thing about Thursdays is that has nothing to do with winning, he doesn't hesitate. “The faces have changed over the years, but TNF is the perfect mix of competitive and social football, with a great crowd of players of varying abilities. I also love the post-drink beer which sets up the weekend nicely. In the old days we'd often have a lock-in at The Lamb until 1-2am. Now a couple in the G&D suffices.”

The lock-ins at The Lamb are the stuff of legend. The landlord, Anton — sadly no longer with us — would pull the curtains and occasionally let the players pull the pints. One night, Phil Cass stayed in the bar until his taxi to the airport arrived at 5am. His wife was waiting in the car. She's no longer his wife.

Sean McKay — 597 games, there from almost the start, the all-time fantasy points leader despite being only 7th in goals — calls it “as essential as oxygen and far more important.” But he puts it most directly when he says: “TNF football turned me from an isolated immigrant to Berko, to someone at the heart of a community, a band of brothers with something to look forward to every Monday morning.”

Elite football tracks every sprint, every touch, every expected goal. This group did the same thing — but for an hour under floodlights in Hertfordshire every Thursday.

The result isn't just a dataset. It's a record of what happens when ordinary people apply elite-level tracking to their own rituals — and what that reveals about football, friendship, and ageing. The same trends visible at Wembley are playing out on a school pitch in Berkhamsted. Goals are inflating. Close games are dying. Hat-tricks are exploding. And a group of men who were in their thirties when this started are now pushing fifty, and they've never stopped. The tools to quantify games like this are now mainstream.

Grinners' scoring fell 88% over 15 years. His contribution to winning fell just 10%. Father Time takes your goals, not your game.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

Everything below is what the data shows: the trends, the records, the characters, the oddities. If you find a story in it, it's yours.

Stories Inside This Dataset

Eleven ready-made angles for feature writers, data journalists, or anyone building their own piece. Each links to supporting data below.

1

In 718 Matches, Just Three Goalless Draws

Grassroots small-sided football is 18 times less likely to end 0-0 than the Premier League. In the entire 15-year history of this Thursday night game, there have been just three goalless draws. The last was 6 February 2020 — 266 consecutive matches ago and counting.

3 goalless draws in 718 matches (0.42%) · PL rate ~7–8% · 266-match scoring streak (ongoing)

See: Data Vault → Scoreline Bingo, Goal Distribution
2

Goals Are Inflating — And Nobody Knows Why

Goals per match have risen 38% in a decade. Hat-tricks have quadrupled. Clean sheets have halved. The same attacking inflation visible in elite football is playing out in amateur vets football every Thursday night. And like the professionals, nobody can fully explain it.

6.15 → 8.50 goals/match · Hat-tricks: 7 (2019) → 28 (2025) · Clean sheets: 12.5% → 4.3% · Draws: 21.6% → 8.0%

See: Data Vault → Goal Inflation, Hat-Trick Epidemic, Clean Sheet Decline
3

The Close Game Is an Endangered Species

In 2013, nearly half of all matches were decided by a single goal. By 2025, that's dropped to a quarter. Blowouts now account for over half of all games. The cliff coincides with the arrival of a dominant scorer in late 2022 — whose impact ultimately triggered the introduction of an AI team-balancing algorithm. And yet no regular player has a career win rate above 53.3%. The games are more lopsided than ever, but the players are perfectly balanced.

Close games: 48% → 24% · Blowouts (3+): 24% → 54% · Best win rate (50+ games): 53.3%

See: Data Vault → Win Percentage, Competitiveness Data
4

Grassroots Football Isn't Dying — It's Booming

Since COVID, the player pool has grown 62%: from 34 to 55 unique players. 96% of pre-lockdown players came back. 2025 saw 19 new players — the biggest intake in history. The top scorer's share of total goals has fallen from 24% to 16%. The growth isn't diluting the game — it's democratising it.

Player pool +62% · 96% COVID return · 19 new in 2025 · Top scorer share: 24% → 16%

At this rate I'll be playing until 70.Grinners, age 60, 501 games
See: Data Vault → Community & Cohorts, Retention, Goal Concentration
5

The Man Who Played 628 Thursday Night Games (And Organised Every One)

One man has more appearances than Ryan Giggs's entire Premier League career — but over 15 years, not 24. He's also the one who has run the game for years: the WhatsApp chasing, the bibs, the pitch, the teams. He barely drinks, but he's always in the pub afterwards with a lime and soda.

628 games · 16 calendar years · 67-week consecutive streak · 204 winter games · ~79% attendance rate

Like directing a film — you want the audience to leave feeling happy, and that means a close game, a nailbiting movie.
See: Data Vault → All-Time Appearances, Consecutive Attendance, Winter Warriors
6

The 573-Goal Striker Who Was Told He'd Never Play Again

After a treble leg break in 2002, Barrie Miles thought football was over. Instead he scored 573 goals over 12 years in a Thursday night vets game, won 12 consecutive Golden Boots, and retired 27 goals short of his 600 target when his knee finally gave out. His brother Lee has been there from the same first match — 516 games, 69 goals. One retired, one still there.

573 goals · 469 games · 1.22/game · 12 consecutive Golden Boots · 7 goals in one match (twice)

To get back to play for another 12 years meant the world to me. Miss it so much.Barrie Miles
See: Data Vault → All-Time Scorers, Golden Boot Winners, Succession Timeline
7

These Dads Built an Algorithm to Balance Their Weekly Kickabout

When one player started winning at +0.90 goals per game, manual team selection couldn't cope. So the group's app builder coded a genetic algorithm to balance teams around dominant players. Early results: the star player's team advantage halved, but his individual output didn't change. 37 post-algorithm matches. Promising, not proven.

Team advantage: +0.90 → +0.44 · Win rate: 52.4% → 48.1% · Goals/game: unchanged at 1.33

It makes me ten times more determined. Also increases the workout. And has resulted in the odd visible strop as well as plenty of hidden sulks.Pete Hay
See: Data Vault → Algorithm Deep-Dive
8

Why Do Men Keep Score?

Fifteen years. Nearly 5,000 goals. Fantasy points. Christmas curry awards. A spreadsheet that went to Thailand. Man of the Match votes. A "Grim Reaper" badge nobody wants. Strava did it to cycling. Garmin did it to running. Now it's happened to a Thursday night kickabout. Why do men need to quantify the things they love?

15 years · 83 players · 7 founders still playing · 85–100% annual retention

Men need a gang, something to be part of, and competition and banter.
See: Data Vault → Community & Cohorts, Fantasy Points
9

The Invisible Players Who Make Games Worth Watching

The most valuable players aren't the top scorers. When certain players are on the pitch, winning margins shrink by half a goal and close games increase by 5%. The all-time fantasy points leader (Sean McKay, 10,340 points) is only the 7th-highest scorer. One outfield player went 190 consecutive games without scoring — and still turned up every Thursday for four years.

Margin delta: up to +0.52 when glue guys play · Fantasy leader ≠ top scorer · 190-game scoreless streak (Stuart Nolan)

See: Data Vault → Fantasy Points, Chemistry Pairs, Goal Drought Records
10

The Greatest Matches Ever Played

Two 6-6 draws share the top spot on the Quality Match Index. A 9-8 thriller — 17 goals, 9 different scorers — ranks fourth. And in 718 matches and 4,959 goals, no team has ever won 8-0. There have been 15-1 and 15-2 scorelines. But never an 8-0.

Two 6-6 draws (joint #1 quality) · 9-8 match (17 goals, 9 scorers) · 8-0 has never happened

See: Data Vault → Quality Match Index, Scoreline Bingo, Extreme Matches
11

Father Time Takes Your Goals, Not Your Game

Every one of the seven founding players still active has seen their scoring rate decline — most by 80% or more. Grinners scored every other game in 2011; by 2019, he'd effectively stopped. Sean McKay scored 26 goals in his first year; last year he managed 2. But fantasy points — which measure wins, clean sheets, and margins rather than goals — tell a different story. Grinners' scoring fell 88%. His points per game fell just 10%. Jon Hammersley's best PPG season was 2021 — a full decade after his scoring peak. Alex Chaplin, at 628 games, is having a late-career renaissance since starting resistance-band training. The legs go. The goals dry up. The game doesn't.

Scoring decline: 72–100% across all 7 founders · Grinners: goals −88%, PPG −10% · Jon Hammersley: PPG peaked a decade after goals · Barrie Miles: retired at 573 goals when the knee finally won

See: Data Vault → The Ageing Curve, Magnificent Seven

The Data Vault

Full record books, leaderboards, fun stats, and reference data. Each section is collapsible — click to expand.

Record Book

All-Time Records

RecordHolderValueDate / Period
Most goals in a gameBarrie Miles75 Sep 2013 (9-3)
Longest win streakDave Wates10Oct 2024 – Jul 2025
Longest undefeated streakBarrie Miles / Mark Chappell / Chris Smith14Shared
Longest losing streakGrinners11Sep 2023 – Feb 2024
Longest winless streakGreg Dormer14Aug 2021 – Jan 2022
Longest scoring streakTarik Windle / Barrie Miles (×2)13Shared
Longest attendance streakAlex Chaplin67 weeksFeb 2011 – Jun 2012
Biggest victory15-113 Mar 2025
Highest-scoring match15-2 (17 goals)13 Oct 2022
Longest 0-0 droughtOngoing266 matches6 Feb 2020 – present
Most hat-tricks (career)Barrie Miles59
Most hat-tricks (season)Barrie Miles~162011, 2016

Consecutive Attendance Records

NameConsecutive WeeksPeriod
Alex Chaplin67Feb 2011 – Jun 2012
Alex Chaplin432nd streak
Alex Chaplin393rd streak
Rich Moriarty36
Ali Wilson36
Alex Chaplin354th streak
Sean McKay34×3 separate streaks
Barrie Miles33
Daryl Master32

Goal Drought Records (consecutive outfield games without scoring)

NameDrought LengthPeriod
Stuart Nolan190 games2011–2017
Kevin Sears752018–2021
Matt Judd722014–2022
Sharpey472024–2025
Daryl Master452018–2019

Most Unique Scorers in a Single Match

DateScoreUnique ScorersTotal Players
20 Feb 20148-51018
13 Oct 202215-21018
11 Dec 20254-7918
1 Aug 20198-5916

Best 10-Game Runs (Hot Hand)

PlayerBest 10-Game GoalsCareer Avg/Game
Barrie Miles241.22
Pete Hay211.31
James Shuker200.84
Paul Wright180.70
Luke Inks171.00
Tarik Windle17

Fastest to Milestone Goals

MilestoneFastest PlayerGamesRunner-upGames
50 goalsBarrie Miles33Pete Hay47
100 goalsBarrie Miles71Pete Hay75
200 goalsBarrie Miles139James Shuker246
Leaderboards

All-Time Top Scorers

#NameGoalsGamesPer Game
1Barrie Miles5734691.22
2James Shuker2462940.84
3Simon Gill2172860.76
4Alex Chaplin2186280.35
5Pete Hay1731321.31
6Cupcakes1594580.35
7Sean McKay1425970.24
8H1403800.37
9Mark Chappell1153500.33
10Greg Dormer1121990.56

All-Time Appearances

#NameGamesYears ActiveAttendance Rate
1Alex Chaplin6282011–2026 (16 yrs)0.79/week
2Sean McKay5972011–2026 (15 yrs)0.76/week
3Lee Miles5162011–2025 (14 yrs)0.67/week
4Grinners5012011–2026 (15 yrs)0.63/week
5Jon Hammersley4792011–2026 (15 yrs)0.61/week
6Barrie Miles4692011–2023 (12 yrs)0.74/week
7Cupcakes4582011–2024 (13 yrs)0.63/week
8Rich Moriarty4262011–2025 (14 yrs)0.57/week
9Daryl Master3872011–2022 (11 yrs)0.67/week
10H3802012–2025 (13 yrs)0.53/week

Fantasy Points All-Time Leaders

#NameFantasy PointsGames
1Sean McKay10,340597
2Lee Miles9,060516
3Alex Chaplin9,050628
4Jon Hammersley8,570479
5Barrie Miles8,300469

Fantasy points reward wins, clean sheets, and heavy wins — not just goals. Sean McKay tops this despite being 7th in goals.

Golden Boot Winners

YearWinnerGoalsGamesPer Game
2011Barrie Miles66441.50
2012Barrie Miles57441.30
2013Barrie Miles67421.60
2014Barrie Miles46411.12
2015Barrie Miles62441.41
2016Barrie Miles70421.67
2017Barrie Miles45381.18
2018Barrie Miles35420.83
2019Barrie Miles36390.92
2020Barrie Miles14210.67
2021Barrie Miles37261.42
2022Barrie Miles33380.87
2023Pete Hay45411.10
2024Pete Hay58351.66
2025Pete Hay52411.27

Hat-Trick Kings

NameHat-tricks (3+)4+ Goal Games5+ Goal Games
Barrie Miles59249
Pete Hay2386
James Shuker1720
Simon Gill1520
H710
Greg Dormer710

Barrie Miles scored a hat-trick in 12.6% of all games he played. Pete Hay: 17.4%.

Clean Sheet Leaders

NameClean SheetsGamesCS Rate
Cupcakes284586.1%
Jon Hammersley264795.4%
Sean McKay265974.4%
H223805.8%
Cass213785.6%

Clean sheets are team-level awards. Only ~4.3% of all appearances resulted in a clean sheet.

Winter Warriors (Nov–Feb Games)

NameWinter Games
Alex Chaplin205
Sean McKay192
Grinners176
Barrie Miles158
Lee Miles154

Highest Win Percentage (50+ games)

NameWin %Games
Steve McGrail53.3%75
Johnno53.1%98
Range52.7%201
Pete Hay51.5%132
Cal McKay51.5%68

Best Player Chemistry (30+ games together)

PairGames TogetherAvg Fantasy Points
Range + Jon Hammersley6824.71
Steve McGrail + Pete Hay3024.67
Johnno + Jon Hammersley3123.55
Range + Pete Hay3323.33
Ian Pudney + Cupcakes8122.96
Simon Gill + Scott Daly3122.90
Ian Pudney + Lee Miles9922.63
Mark Chappell + Lee Miles11722.39

Best Trios (30+ games together, same team)

TrioGamesWin Rate
Lee Miles + Ian Pudney + Cupcakes3982.1%
Jon Hammersley + Range + H2277.3%
Ian Pudney + Alex Chaplin + Matt Judd2875.0%
Jon Hammersley + Ian Pudney + Cupcakes2373.9%
Ian Pudney + Sean McKay + Cupcakes3073.3%

Ian Pudney appears in 4 of the top 5 trios.

Scoreline Bingo & Fun Stats

Most Common Scorelines

ScorelineCount%
3-2496.8%
4-3456.3%
4-2446.1%
3-1385.3%
5-3365.0%

Never-Seen Scorelines (in 718 matches)

8-0 · 9-1 · 10-0 · 10-3 · 7-7 · 10-5 · 8-8

4,959 goals. 15-1 and 15-2 scorelines. But never an 8-0.

Greatest Matches (Quality Match Index)

#DateScoreGoalsScorersQuality Index
14 May 20236-61270.969
1=24 Oct 20246-61270.969
37 Mar 20245-51080.950
424 May 20189-81790.933
510 Oct 20245-51070.919

24 May 2018: 9-8. Seventeen goals. Nine different scorers.

Who Owns Each Month?

MonthBest PlayerYearsGamesPPG
JanuaryBob Craddock31128.1
FebruaryIan Pudney62030.4
MarchMark Chalwin41424.0
AprilMatt Judd51625.0
MayH82922.2
JunePete Hay31226.6
JulyScott Daly31123.6
AugustHoward31123.1
SeptemberSimon Gill62322.8
OctoberRange51725.7
NovemberMatt Judd51826.7
DecemberCupcakes72122.4

Best average fantasy points per game by calendar month. Min. 3 games in a month, across at least 3 different years. Measured by contribution, not goals — 11 different players own the 12 months.

Debuts

40% of all players scored on debut.45.5% won their first match.Average debut goals: 0.65 (below career average for most — debuts are harder than they look).

Losing With a Hat-Trick

James Shuker once scored 4 goals and lost (8-6, June 2024). Barrie Miles lost with 3 goals four times.

Milestones & Timeline
MilestoneDateMatch #ScoreStory
Goal #1,00028 Nov 20131445-48 different scorers
Goal #2,0001 Dec 20162949-6Butts(3), Chaplin(2), H(2), Barrie(2)
Goal #3,00012 Dec 20194454-4Greg Dormer scored all 4 for his team
Goal #4,00021 Sep 20236003-36 different scorers
Match #10017 Jan 2013Just 2 years in
Match #50030 Sep 2021Post-COVID milestone
Match #70016 Oct 2025In the algorithm era
Community & Cohorts

Community Pyramid

13 players account for 51% of all appearances. The core is small and incredibly committed.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

TierPlayersTotal Appearances% of All Appearances
500+ (Legends)42,24219.6%
300–499 (Veterans)93,63231.8%
100–299 (Established)214,14636.3%
50–99 (Regulars)131,0058.8%
20–49 (Semi-Regular)82852.5%
5–19 (Occasional)7750.7%
1–4 (Fleeting)18310.3%

13 players (Legends + Veterans) account for 51.3% of all appearances.

The Magnificent Seven — Original Players Still Active

NameGamesFirst GameNote
Alex Chaplin6286 Jan 2011Organiser
Sean McKay59720 Jan 2011Fantasy points leader
Lee Miles5166 Jan 2011Barrie's brother
Grinners5016 Jan 2011Age 60, loyal loser
Jon Hammersley47920 Jan 2011
Rich Moriarty42610 Mar 2011
Kevin Sears3056 Jan 2011Loyal loser + founder

Combined: 3,452 appearances across 7 players who have never left.

The Ageing Curve — What Fifteen Years Does

Every founding player's scoring rate has declined. But the fantasy points — which measure contribution to winning, not goals — reveal that the game doesn't leave you as fast as the goals do.

Goals/game PPG

Alex Chaplin

Sean McKay

Grinners

Jon Hammersley

Lee Miles

Rich Moriarty

Kevin Sears

Barrie Miles

Goals collapse for every founder. Points per game barely flinch. The pattern is universal.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

PlayerPeak Goals/GamePeak Year2025 Goals/GameGoal DeclinePPG Trend
Sean McKay0.6320110.05−92%Stable at 15–20 for 15 years
Grinners0.5920110.07−88%−10% (goals vanished, game didn't)
Jon Hammersley0.5620110.11−80%PPG peaked 2021 — decade after goals
Alex Chaplin0.5420190.09−83%Renaissance in 2026 (resistance bands)
Rich Moriarty0.3220140.00−100%PPG holding steady (fewer games)
Lee Miles0.3220160.09−72%Never a prolific scorer (The Ghost)
Kevin Sears0.3020110.00−100%Founding loyalist, 305 games
Barrie Miles †1.672016RetiredKnee gave out at 573 goals

Goals/game = outfield games only. PPG = fantasy points per game (rewards wins, clean sheets, margins). † = retired. All data 2011–2026.

New Player Intake by Year

YearNew PlayersNotable
201123The founding class
20122
2013–20150No new blood for 3 years
20164First wave
2017–20184
20193
2020–20210COVID years
202212The big bang (incl. future GOAT successor)
20235
20246
202519Biggest intake ever
20262In progress

Cohort Success Rates

Intake YearSizeMedian GamesRegulars (50+)Established (100+)Fleeting (<10)
20112330523 (100%)21 (91%)0
201223372 (100%)2 (100%)0
201642053 (75%)3 (75%)0
201931303 (100%)2 (67%)0
2022108510 (100%)3 (30%)0
20245360 (0%)0 (0%)0

Zero fleeting players across ALL cohorts pre-2024.

Year-on-Year Retention

YearPlayersPlayed AgainRetention
20112323100%
20122525100%
2013252496%
2014242396%
20152323100%
2016272593%
2017272593%
2018262492%
2019272593%
2020 (COVID)252496%
20212424100%
2022363392%
2023393487%
2024403485%

Retention = player appeared in at least one subsequent year. 2025 excluded (2026 season incomplete).

Reference Data

Goal Distribution

Goals in MatchCount%
030.4%
1–38211.4%
4–626236.5%
7–923933.3%
10–1210114.1%
13+314.3%

Most common: 6 total goals (101 matches, 14.1%).

10+ goals: 132 (18.4%) · 12+ goals: 60 (8.4%) · 15+ goals: 12 (1.7%)

Seasonality

MonthAvg GoalsAvg PlayersNote
January6.7817.6
February6.6317.3
March7.3817.3Spring surge
April5.8816.8Lowest scoring
May7.0816.5
June7.2116.4
July6.8016.3
August6.5815.3Holiday dip
September6.8416.9
October6.8017.2
November7.7816.9Highest scoring — dark nights = chaos
December7.1916.5

Scoring Breadth (% of players who scored at least once)

YearUnique PlayersUnique Scorers%
2011232295.7%
2016272385.2%
2019272385.2%
2022363288.9%
2024403792.5%
2025533871.7%

Squad Size vs Goals

Squad SizeMatchesAvg GoalsAvg Margin
10–12 (small)487.232.06
13–14836.472.04
15–161387.082.21
17–18 (most common)4456.912.47

Hat-Trick Inflation

Hat-tricks have gone from rare events to near-weekly occurrences.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

YearHat-tricksMatches w/ Hat-trick% w/ Hat-trickMatches w/ 2+
20197714.0%0
20228714.0%1
2024231839.1%5
2025282244.0%5

Clean Sheet Decline

YearMatchesCS MatchesCS Rate
201248612.5%
201549612.2%
20195036.0%
20225036.0%
20244624.3%
20255048.0%

Goal Concentration (is it a one-man show?)

YearTop Scorer ShareTop 3 ShareNum Players
201119.9%40.8%23
201624.1%41.4%27
201912.9%30.0%27
202213.9%32.8%34
202417.4%35.7%35
202516.3%36.7%32

Despite Pete Hay's dominance, his share (16–17%) is much lower than Barrie's peak (24%). 2019 was the most egalitarian year.

Succession Timeline (Barrie Miles vs Pete Hay)

YearBarrie GoalsBarrie GPGPete GoalsPete GPGGolden Boot
2016701.67Barrie
2017451.18Barrie
2018350.83Barrie (decline begins)
2019360.92Barrie
2020140.67Barrie (COVID)
2021371.42Barrie (renaissance)
2022330.87141.27Barrie (overlap year)
202350.63451.10Pete (torch passes)
2024581.66Pete
2025521.27Pete

Player Archetypes

ArchetypePlayersCharacteristics
The MachineLuke InksHigh avg, low variance. Consistent and prolific.
Boom or BustPete Hay, Barrie MilesHigh avg, huge variance. Hat-trick or nothing.
The MetronomeSteve Gamston, H, Cupcakes, Alex Chaplin, Tim Watkins, Mark ChappellSteady, low-scoring, reliable. The backbone.
The GhostSean McKay, Grinners, Lee Miles, Rich Moriarty, Stuart NolanRarely score. Present every week. The defensive core.

Flat-Track Bully Index

PlayerGoals/Game (Close)Goals/Game (Blowout)Type
Nick Foley0.580.50Big-Game Player
Steve Gamston0.690.76Consistent
Barrie Miles1.011.73Flat-Track Bully
Pete Hay1.001.92Flat-Track Bully
Simon Gill0.631.08Blowout specialist
James Shuker0.770.97Consistent
Algorithm Deep-Dive

The genetic algorithm was deployed in June 2025 to balance teams around dominant players. 37 post-algorithm matches as of February 2026 — early results, not final proof. 19 new players in 2025 are a significant confounding factor.

No Algorithm With Algorithm

Team advantage

0.9 gpg
Before
0.44 gpg
After

−51%

Win rate

52.4%
Before
48.1%
After

−4.3pp

Goals/game

1.3
Before
1.33
After

+2%

The algorithm neutralised the team-level advantage without reducing individual output.

Source: Capo Thursday Night Football dataset (2011–2026)

Before vs After

MetricNo AlgorithmWith Algorithm
Pete's team advantage+0.90/game+0.44 (halved)
Pete's win rate52.4%48.1% (below 50%)
Pete's goals/game1.301.33 (unchanged)

You can balance around talent. You can't stop it.

Monthly Breakdown 2025

MonthLeague Avg MarginClose %Pete Win %Pete Team MarginEra
Jan2.2550%50%+0.25Pre-algo
Feb3.7525%100%+1.50Pre-algo
Mar6.2525%75%+2.25Pre-algo
Apr3.000%25%-1.00Pre-algo
May3.4020%50%+0.25Pre-algo
Jun4.500%75%+3.00ALGO (early)
Jul2.0060%0%-2.25ALGO
Aug3.0025%33%+1.00ALGO
Sep2.7525%33%-1.00ALGO
Oct3.4020%75%+3.50ALGO
Nov3.7525%50%-0.75ALGO
Dec3.670%0%-3.00ALGO
Jan 20263.7525%0%-2.00ALGO
Feb 20261.6767%67%+1.00ALGO

Methodology & Caveats

Every match has been recorded since 6 January 2011. Individual goalscorers are tracked per match. There is no video review — scores are entered by organisers on the night.

How the numbers work

  • Total goals (4,959) come from match scores (sum of both sides). Goals attributed to named players total 4,201 (~85%); the remainder are from early tracking and guest appearances.
  • Fantasy points are calculated from wins, goals, clean sheets, and margins. The formula is available on request.
  • Quality Match Index is a composite of closeness (margin / total goals), goal count, and scoring breadth (unique scorers / total players).
  • Player lifecycle: “Active” means played in the last 6 months. “Retired” is explicitly marked. Ringers (RINGER1–7) are excluded from player stats but included in match totals.
  • Team balance: Pre-June 2025 = manual selection. June 2025 onwards = algorithmic (performance-based genetic algorithm).

Known caveats

  • Match format: Typically 9v9 (average 16–18 players). Not strict 5-a-side. No offside, no dedicated goalkeeper.
  • Team A/B convention (pre-2025): The winning team's score was always recorded as Team A. Actual team assignments weren't tracked until 2025. Individual win/loss rates are tracked per player, not per team label.
  • Algorithm sample size: Only 37 post-algorithm matches as of February 2026. Early results, not final proof. 19 new players in 2025 are a significant confounding factor.
  • Haaland comparison: The format is 9-a-side with no offside and no dedicated goalkeeper. The comparison illustrates volume and consistency, not direct equivalence.
  • Scoring breadth decline (2025): 71.7% of players scored at least once, down from 95.7% in 2011. Likely due to a larger group rather than fewer scorers.

Snapshot date

All figures on this page are drawn from the dataset as of 26 February 2026 (718 matches). The game continues every Thursday, so the live numbers will have moved on since publication.

This dataset was compiled using Capo, a tool we built for our own Thursday night game (RSVPs, team balance, stats). If you want details or raw data, email press@caposport.com.